What’s the Bull Case? Guest Post by Jay Pelosky

January 30, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

What’s the Bull Case?  Written by Jay Pelosky (bio below) for Itau’s Global Connections Jan 29th, 2016 It has certainly been a challenging start to the year – even for someone like myself who has been quite cautious (see …

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XLP: Have You Tried Staples?

January 29, 2016 by Dan • Trades and Updates

Regular readers know that I have been less than optimistic about the return environment for equities globally with the end of QE in late 2014, and the end of ZIRP this past December.  I know …

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Big Printin’ – $USO, $RF

January 28, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

Here were are a couple directional options trades that caught my eye in today’s trading: 1) USO – when the etf that tracks the price of oil was $9.64 a trader sold to open 50,000 April 8 …

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MSFT Surface Friction

by Dan • Trades and Updates

Event: Microsoft (MSFT) reports fiscal Q2 results tonight after the close. The options market is implying about a 5.75% one day move, which is essentially in line with its 4 qtr average one day move of …

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AMZN Grace

by Dan • Trades and Updates

Event: Amazon (AMZN) reports Q4 results tonight after the close. The options market is implying about 8.5% one day move tomorrow, which is basically inline with its 10 year average one day move of 9%, and …

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MorningWord 1/28/16: $FB Poke Me

by Dan • Morning Word

When it comes to investing, taking a skeptical view to consensus thinking, with an eye towards risk management is a good thing. It may help you to lose less (or even make money) when popular opinion shifts …

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Big Printin’ – $AAPL, $QQQ

January 27, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

Apple’s (AAPL) commentary on the global macro environment has certainly spooked tech investors, with the stock down 6.4% as I write,  placing the stock down 30% from its all time highs made in April and …

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