I’m not sure I ever recall uttering a positive word about Gold as an fundamental investment in the pages of RiskReversal. I’ve spoken about it from a techincal peespective. And since the shiny metal got …
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MorningWord 6/8/16: If you stand for nothing, what’ll you fall for?
On Monday’s Fast Money on CNBC we had on Société Générale’s Global Head of Economics, Michala Marcussen, who laid out what she feels are the key risks to the current fragile state of the global economy, and …
Continue readingUpdate – $TLT Bullish Sept Risk Reversal
Just a few weeks ago, when odds of a June or July rate hike spiked on FOMC minutes that indicated a willingness for a Summer rate hike, we made the argument that it was more …
Continue readingMorningWord 6/3/16: Less Than Zero
If the May jobs data had come in hot this morning, it would have provided coverage for the U.S. Fed to pull the trigger on their second rate hike in 10 years (their first since …
Continue readingMorningWord 6/1/16: I know What You Did Last Summer
Last month, the Fed floated a June raise trial balloon. On May 16th, expectations for a June hike sat at a 4% probability. After the trial balloon they shot up to a 34% chance by May …
Continue readingMorningWord 5/31/16: Operation Rolling Top
Friday afternoon I detailed a trade idea in the XLV, the S&P Healthcare Select etf (read here). The premise was fairly simple. The XLV has been a relative under-performer but it could be poised to play …
Continue readingAnnual Check-up – $XLV
Tuesday morning, right before the S&P 500 (SPX) ripped 2% in a straight line into today, I offered a quick take on the technical set up of the index using a few time-frames (MorningWord 5/24/16: Fool Me Twice? – …
Continue readingMorningWord 5/27/16: Fall into the GAAP
The financial media has spilled a lot of ink on the growing gap between GAAP and Adjusted Earnings. I’ve also written on the subject at times, choosing to focus on a stock by stock basis …
Continue readingMorningWord 5/19/16: Nobody Knows – $WMT
Shares of Walmart (WMT) are up a whopping 8% this morning after reporting Q1 sales that beat expectations with a same sales stores sales comp of a 1%. The stock is making back a good …
Continue readingUpdate – $XRT June Put Spread
With retail stocks getting slammed today as result of poor results and guidance from Macy’s (M) I wanted to take the opportunity to update a bearish options trade detail here, and discussed on CNBC’s Options Action this …
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