MorningWord 6/28/16: Eyes Wide Shut

June 28, 2016 by Dan • Morning Word

Prior to the Brexit vote last week in the UK, a Leave decision was not a major input for my cautious view in U.S. stocks (MorningWord 6/23/16: Cause I Don’t Want to Be… Anarchy). In hindsight, …

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$HPE – Long Alternative

May 24, 2016 by Dan • Trades and Updates

Yesterday I previewed Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s (HPE) fiscal Q2 results due after the close (read here), and concluded:  [private] My View into the Print: HPE is a cheap stock trading about 8.5x expected 2016 eps …

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$PG – Currency Crests

May 16, 2016 by Dan • Trades and Updates

When Proctor & Gamble (PG) reports their fiscal Q4 results in early August the company will likely print an eps decline of 10% for fiscal year 2016 with a 15% sales decline. The expected $65 …

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$WMT – Price Break

April 29, 2016 by Dan • Trades and Updates

Shares of Walmart are having their worst day today since its February 18th 3% decline following Q4 results that capped their first annual sales decline since 1980, and guided down for the current fiscal year 2017 vs …

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$MMM Go Nuts

April 25, 2016 by Dan • Trades and Updates

Event: tomorrow before the open 3M (MMM) reports Q1 results, the options market is implying about a $5.25 move in either direction, or about 3%.  The average move one day post earnings over the last …

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MorningWord 4/6/16: Get Shorty

April 6, 2016 by Dan • Morning Word

This morning, Bloomberg reported on short interest in U.S. equity markets reaching levels not seen since 2008, with the suggestion that this could serve as a contrarian set up, quoting Fundstrat Global Advisor’s Thomas Lee, who opined:  “There’s …

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MorningWord 3/29/16: Dollar In General

March 29, 2016 by Dan • Morning Word

This morning in the WSJ’s Streetwise column, James McKintosh succinctly summed up the bi-polar behavior of investors in risk assets over the last last couple months (The Markets Have a Message: Don’t Believe This Rally): Worries …

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