$FB – Poke Back?

April 27, 2016 by CC • Trades and Updates

Dan had a great preview of Facebook’s Q1 earnings due after the bell. Our view is that over the long term some of the same pain that they are causing their online competitors will eventually …

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$XLK Tech Wreck?

April 26, 2016 by Dan • Trades and Updates

On Friday afternoon I previewed a bearish trade in shares of the Technology Select etf, the XLK (below), and discussed on Friday’s Options Action on CNBC: I think I was pretty clear that I wanted to …

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High Technical Assistance – $XLK

April 22, 2016 by Dan • Trades and Updates

Earlier today I offered some thoughts on Q1 earnings season (read here), but the quick take-away as we finish the second full week of results is that stocks that had low expectations and had not …

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MorningWord 4/22/16: Q1 Report Card

by Dan • Morning Word

Q1 earnings season is off to a sort of meh start. Last week, bank stocks rallied off of very low expectations, poor relative performance and results that were good enough to cause a bit of …

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$MSFT – Partying Like it’s 1999

April 21, 2016 by Dan • Trades and Updates

Event: Microsoft (MSFT) reports fiscal Q3 results tonight after the close. The options market is implying about a 4.3% one day move, which is well below the 4 qtr average one day move of about 7.5%, and inline …

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Big Printin’ – $MSFT Party Like it’s Y2K

April 18, 2016 by Dan • Commentary

On Friday’s Options Action, my co-panelist Carter Worth of Cornerstone Macro Research made the bullish case for a breakout of shares of Microsoft (MSFT) in the near future: Interestingly, Carter beat me to it, as I had …

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$ORCL Fiscal Q3 Earnings Preview

March 14, 2016 by Dan • Trade Ideas

Event: Oracle (ORCL) reports fiscal Q3 results tomorrow after the close. The options market is implying about a 4.5% one day move, which is slightly high of its 4 quarter average of about 4.25%, but in …

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MSFT Surface Friction

January 28, 2016 by Dan • Trades and Updates

Event: Microsoft (MSFT) reports fiscal Q2 results tonight after the close. The options market is implying about a 5.75% one day move, which is essentially in line with its 4 qtr average one day move of …

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FB: Fly on Your Wall

January 22, 2016 by Dan • Trades and Updates

It was a pretty volatile week for most risk assets the world over. At one point here in the U.S. and Europe on Wednesday it felt as though we were nearing a crash.  Things have …

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